Earth system sensitivity inferred from Pliocene modelling and data

first_imgQuantifying the equilibrium response of global temperatures to an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations is one of the cornerstones of climate research. Components of the Earth’s climate system that vary over long timescales, such as ice sheets and vegetation, could have an important effect on this temperature sensitivity, but have often been neglected. Here we use a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model to simulate the climate of the mid-Pliocene warm period (about three million years ago), and analyse the forcings and feedbacks that contributed to the relatively warm temperatures. Furthermore, we compare our simulation with proxy records of mid-Pliocene sea surface temperature. Taking these lines of evidence together, we estimate that the response of the Earth system to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations is 30-50% greater than the response based on those fast-adjusting components of the climate system that are used traditionally to estimate climate sensitivity. We conclude that targets for the long-term stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations aimed at preventing a dangerous human interference with the climate system should take into account this higher sensitivity of the Earth system.last_img read more

Brexit to blame for higher sales fall-through rate, it is claimed

first_imgHome » News » Brexit to blame for higher sales fall-through rate, it is claimed previous nextBrexit to blame for higher sales fall-through rate, it is claimedHousing buying firm reckons uncertainty caused by Article 50 trigger and Referendum vote have helped give buyers the jitters.Nigel Lewis4th October 201701,013 Views Nearly a third of house sales fell through before completion during the third quarter of the year, continuing an upward trend that has been ongoing since the start of last year – and that’s being blamed on Brexit.The figures come from ‘fast sale’ home buying firm Quick Move Now, which says the number of sales falling through before completion has increased from 26% to 28% compared to the previous quarter, and up from 20% at the beginning of 2016.It blames the rise in fall-throughs on a “turbulent year” for the UK property and in particular external factors such as the EU referendum and the triggering of Article 50 for “all playing their part in the fall through rate”.Slow salesQuick Move Now, which researched transactions in England and Wales only, says the most common reason for sales falling through is when sales progression grinds to a halt and buyers simply find somewhere else, following by lenders refusing credit after an offer has been made.Buyers trying to renegotiate the agreed sales price after its been agree was the third most common reason, followed by buyers simply changing their minds about a property, followed by survey problems.“As we reflect on Q3, it’s clear the UK property market is still full of uncertainty and instability,” says Quick Move Now’s Managing Director Danny Luke (pictured, left).“Looking at the reasons behind the fall-throughs for Q3, nearly 63% occurred due to hesitation on the buyer’s part.“These reasons behind the house sale fall-throughs would indicate a complete lack of confidence from buyers.“Nearly every day, the media is reporting a property price slow-down across the UK. And with many property experts predicting this downward shift to continue as we go into 2018, I would expect buyers to become even more apprehensive in the short term.” Quick Move Now Danny Luke October 4, 2017Nigel LewisWhat’s your opinion? Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment.Please note: This is a site for professional discussion. Comments will carry your full name and company.This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.Related articles Letting agent fined £11,500 over unlicenced rent-to-rent HMO3rd May 2021 BREAKING: Evictions paperwork must now include ‘breathing space’ scheme details30th April 2021 City dwellers most satisfied with where they live30th April 2021last_img read more

Bakers fear impact of revalued business rates

first_imgBakers fear a business rates hike will put even more pressure on their already precarious fortunes.Business premises are revalued every five years to ensure that rateable values reflect changes in the property market. However, the next revaluation due to take effect in April 2010 is based on rent prices from April 2008, before the recession and when property prices were high.The Forum of Private Business expects an average rise of 3% next April, and policy represen-tative Matt Goodman said it would prove difficult for many firms. “With no transitional relief in 2009/2010 and a 5% rise in the multiplier used to calculate their bills, small businesses are feeling the impact of changes in their business rates,” he said.Mike Holling, retail and sales manager for Birds of Derby, said the rates issue was a major concern for bakers around the country. “It’s another unwelcome cost we could all do without,” he said. “It affects everyone, but I don’t think a lot of companies will have realised the situation until the re-evaluation drops on to their mat. There may be some improvement in the economic situation but no-one is feeling very confident.”London mayor Boris Johnson has called on the government to rethink the proposed rise, which would mean a 10% increase in business rates for London companies over the next five years.Igor Bekaert, MD at the nine-strong Belgique Bakery chain which has stores in the capital, said: “I hope the rates will be frozen, but it’s a big worry. Our shop in Brentwood has been re-evaluated at £14,500 up 5%. This is a massive jump and it will be a challenge to find the money.”Bekaert is contesting the rise, using an agency to try and get the rateable value reassessed. “They get 50% of the saving if they succeed, but it would be worth it,” he added.last_img read more

National Craft Bakers’ Week Competition Winners

first_imgNine-year-old Katherine Sutcliffe from Burnley in Lancashire, and five-year-old Krishan Lal from Erith in Kent, both won a Nintendo Wii, complete with games, in a nationaldrawing competition to celebrate National Craft Bakers’ Week in June this year.Lal, pictured above left, came first in the 4- to 7-year-olds category, which asked entrants to colour a picture of a baker in his shop. He received his prize from Debbie McFaul of Crumbs in Erith, where he picked up his entry form. Sutcliffe, pictured above right collecting her prize from Lara Oddie of WH Oddie, was crowned winner of the 8- to 11-year-olds category for her drawing of a baker’s window filled with gingerbread men, chocolate éclairs and doughnuts.>> More about National Craft Bakers’ Weeklast_img

Industry warned to expect ‘complex market’ for wheat

first_imgWhile wheat yield is up this year, bakers should expect a wide price spectrum depending on which type they need. Jack Watts, lead analyst of cereals and oilseed for AHDB Intelligence, told delegates at the HGCA Grain Market Outlook conference in London that it will be a “complex market” for wheat this season.China has retreated from the import market, with self-sufficiency being the main goal.Yield has generally been good and above the dearth of 2010 to 2012, particularly in the northern hemisphere. The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) has produced 204Mt, up 13% with Europe up 10% at 37Mt. Those with the most reduced production are Australia with 37Mt, down 5% and Near East Asia down 14% at 51Mt.Watts also drew attention to the “growing dominance of maize”, predicting production to increase to 1 billion tonnes by 2016. Wheat production for 2014/2015 is just over 700Mt while maize sits at just under 1,000Mt. Projected wheat production by 2021/2022 is just over 750Mt, while maize is expected to reach more than 1,100Mt by the same point.“Without a weather event to keep it in check, expect to feel the increasing dominance of maize – even directly into the UK market,” warned Watts.Meanwhile. global barley supply and demand looks to remain tight, but has to follow the dynamics of the broader grain market to avoid being priced out of demand. Watts suggested that barley could be getting marginalised by increasingly competitive crops such as oilseeds and maize.last_img read more

It’s Time for the Media and Entertainment Industry to Virtualize

first_imgWhen it comes to virtualization, the media and entertainment (M&E) industry has lagged other industries. For 30 years, broadcast engineers have relied on bare-metal hardware and hard-coded applications, trusting that these solutions could deliver the performance and predictability required of a broadcast network.Broadcast engineers have been wary of virtualization. But for M&E, virtualization in private, public or hybrid-cloud environments offers many tangible benefits: streamlined workflows, increased automation, lower cost of ownership, reduced production time and much more. In fact, forward-thinking media companies are now realizing that virtualization is the only way they’ll be able to compete in a new and rapidly evolving digital marketplace.However, these benefits can only be realized if all components works seamlessly together. To ensure this, Dell Technologies is partnering with many of the world’s leading independent software vendors (ISVs) to test, qualify and prove the functionality of underlying VMware vSphere-based solutions and virtualized configurations.Advantages of Media Function Virtualization (MFV)Prior to VMware, broadcast engineers relied on single-operation hardware, which was limited to one job at a time, whether it was playout, transcoding or rendering. With MFV, media companies can execute multiple tasks on a single Dell EMC VxRail hyperconverged node – an integrated system co-engineered by Dell EMC and VMware.For instance, we have a qualified solution with an ISV that enables us to get 2 – 4 compute tasks, doing either the transcode or the renders on a single VxRail, versus running each job on a separate server. So, what used to take 20 or 30 physical servers is now handled on seven or eight 1U VxRail systems.VMware vSphere can also create robust automated environments. This enables virtual machines (VMs) to move between clusters and stretch clusters to provide higher availability and reliability. If an environment goes down or is taken offline, the application can seamlessly shift to another storage array or vSphere host without any interruption or impact to the user.Now, VMware vSphere advances also allow you to run OTT client applications in VMs, as well as host the core video streaming applications for many broadcast and media solutions.Virtualization’s expanding roleAs the industry progresses toward “IP Playout” delivery, the role for virtualization continues to increase. Broadcasters must compete for audience and advertising dollars by quickly offering new services and channels with specialized content.Easy-to-deploy integrated playout solutions accelerate channel deployment well beyond the capability of traditional installations by offering a flexible, software-based architecture. This enables broadcasters to only pay for what they need and easily add new features as their business evolves.Add to that the evolution of Dell EMC Isilon scale-out storage solutions, designed for high-performance and advanced production environments, enabling media companies to shape and configure resources to meet the demanding needs of each operation in the workflow.Time is moneyTraditionally, it would take 9-12 months for a customer to get their broadcast workload environment into production. They had to size the equipment, set it up, configure and test it extensively before going on-air.With Dell Technologies, the configuration is already qualified and tested when the VxRail nodes arrive. VxRail can be up and running in a couple of days once the networking is ready. Once VMware vSphere is configured, the ISVs – who are familiar with the vSphere configurations and images – can load the base VMs that very day.ISVs have tested and qualified this technology right in their labs, so they’re able to move your operation immediately into workflow customization. This is how environments that used to take 12 months to get running become operational – and collecting revenue – within three months. We’re talking about greatly accelerating revenue from ad sales and everything else that goes along with spinning up a new channel. It also can shorten their technology investment depreciation cycle.This kind of efficiency has caught the attention of ISVs, some of which are now adopting VMware’s solutions as their underlying technology, with huge OEM potential.Broadcast challenges Uncompressed video streams with an IP playout – usually associated with live sports broadcasts – can present a significant challenge for broadcasters, who can’t have dropped frames, jitter or black space, so the requirements are extremely high.The  ST-2110 standard requires 1.3 Gb/s bandwidth for an uncompressed UHD channel. To get multiple channels playing, we found it imperative to have the ISV engineering department working with our VMware vSphere Alliances & Performance Engineering team. It took a long time to solve these challenges, but we can now get two of these channels running on a single VxRail node.One of our ISV partners spent nine months working on a hardware solution to solve this problem. They had no success, because it wasn’t a hardware issue – it was a virtualization-engineering feat. They needed a virtualization solution and Dell Technologies’ expertise. When we brought our VMware vSphere performance engineers to the table, our partners were finally able to overcome this issue.Furthermore, when the next generation VxRail arrives with even more powerful CPUs, we expect to get up to four uncompressed live streams playing without any issue.Lower total costsVMware-powered solutions can help media organizations realize significant cost savings. A single VxRail – powered by VMware vSphere and vSAN – can do the work of multiple bare-metal servers. This results in less rack space, less power and a reduction in cooling requirements versus deploying server after server.Finally, we’re in the early virtualization stages with M&E, but not in other industries where we have employed this solution successfully for years. It took the banking industry, for example, a year or so to understand how well virtualization works. Once they understood the tools and their comfort level increased, the technicians’ work became more meaningful and interesting, and the possibilities of virtualization began to be realized.That’s where we’re heading with M&E, which is why it’s going to be such an exciting next phase in this industry.To learn more about recommendations and best practices, download VMware’s new whitepaper: “Media and Entertainment Workloads on vSphere 6.7: Best practices and recommendations for deployment and performance tuning,” co-authored by VMware’s Mark Achtemichuk, Bob Goldsand and Shak Malik. It is the definitive guide to successfully deploy and benefit from Media Function Virtualization.last_img read more

Qualtrics goes public 2 years after being bought by SAP

first_imgSALT LAKE CITY (AP) — Business software provider Qualtrics went public two years after German software giant SAP bought the company for $8 billion. The move Thursday marked the latest achievement for a company that has become one of the crown jewels of a technology corridor near Salt Lake City that Utah likes to call “Silicon Slopes.” The move brings more notoriety to the company just months after founder and executive chairman Ryan Smith purchased the NBA’s Utah Jazz. Qualtrics shares opened at $30 apiece, above the $27-to-$29 range the company expected. The shares are trading on the Nasdaq index under the symbol XM.last_img

How to fix errors on your credit report

first_img 47SHARESShareShareSharePrintMailGooglePinterestDiggRedditStumbleuponDeliciousBufferTumblr,Myriam DiGiovanni After writing for Credit Union Times and The Financial Brand, Myriam DiGiovanni covers financial literacy for FinancialFeed. She is also a storytelling expert and works with credit unions to help … Web: www.financialfeed.com Details If you’ve received your free annual credit reports from all three credit bureaus, all that information may feel a bit overwhelming, especially if you find errors.If there is something incorrect on your credit report, here is how to fix it.Do a line-by-line review: According to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, be on the look out for these common reporting mistakes:Identity errors: Is there a phone number, address or name you don’t recognize?Accounts that don’t belong to you. Maybe it’s information that belongs to someone who has a similar name.Accounts opened as a result of identity theft.Incorrect account status: This includes closed accounts reported as open, you being listed as an account owner rather than authorized user, duplication of debt, and/or wrong opening, payment or delinquency date.Right account number but wrong balance or credit limit listed.How to fix errors: First, you’ll want to contact the credit bureau that has the error online, by phone or snail mail. Explain in detail why the information is wrong and include copies of any supporting documentation. Once it is received, in general, the bureaus will investigate and respond within 30 to 45 days. The only way an investigation won’t happen is if your dispute is ruled “frivolous,” and you’ll know if that is the case within five days. You’ll also want to file a dispute with the company that made the mistake so they can provide updated information to the credit bureaus. If they made the error, it is their responsibility to contact the credit bureaus and provide the corrected information.If the investigation is not in your favor, you have two choices.Ask that your disputed claim summary be included in your credit report, orFile a complaint with the CFPB at www.consumerfinance.gov/complaint.last_img read more

Hilltop Assisted Living Facility: Residents with COVID-19 display mild symptoms, remain isolated

first_imgFor more info, click here. Additionally, Patti wants to remind the community that the safety of residents and staff is their top priority, and they are working hard to follow protocol to prevent the spread. Patti says that they have seen an increase in positive cases among residents and staff, but they all remain quarantined. Patti also says that the Hilltop Assisted Living Facility is working closely with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), and the department of health to help minimize the spread. The Executive Director, Ron Patti sent a letter to 12 News that says the residents who tested positive for COVID-19 are on the west side of the facility. They report that the cases have been confined to that one area of the facility. He says that most of the residents that have the virus are experiencing mild symptoms. He also says they have formed a task force and infection control team to work on the control of the virus. The facility will continue to have their no-visitor policy, but Patti encourages people to stay in touch with their loved ones. 12 News has reached out to the nursing home for further information and is awaiting to hear back. JOHNSON CITY (WBNG) — The Hilltop Assisted Living Facility sent out a coronavirus update to residents, staff and, family on Thursday. For more coronavirus coverage, click here.last_img read more

Vigil held at Owego Courthouse for Justice Ginsburg

first_img At the Owego Courthouse, a group of about 40 people gathered for one of these candlelight vigils. The event was organized by Owego for Equality. Irena Horvatt, a member of the group, conducted the vigil’s opening speech, saying, “Chances are, if you are here right now, you know that Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg was an impassioned, powerful advocate for the end of discrimination based on sex and gender. You probably also know that she gained her legal reputation of success by championing the court cases of men who faced unfair treatment due to sex discrimination and that this was something she did in the hopes that it might move other men to one day consider the plight of women who faced the same hardships in court cases down the line.” Horvatt added, “Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is gone from us now, but she never slowed down, and neither should we. We can honor her life by keeping her tradition of dissent and civic engagement alive. We can honor her legacy by continuing to care about causes that are important to us, and by making that care actionable in our daily lives.” TIOGA COUNTY, N.Y. (WBNG) — To honor the life and memory of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a number of vigils were held in front of courthouses across the country. center_img Members of Owego for Equality said the group gathered to mourn, share stories, and hold a moment of silence for Justice Ginsburg who died of complications from an ongoing battle with metastatic pancreatic cancer on Friday. Horvatt highlighted Justice Ginsburg’s accomplishments as one of four female Supreme Court Justices in the country’s history, and an empowering figure who “inspired entire generations of women to be civically engaged.”last_img read more